3/10/2022
- ACM array active since August 2011; ACB, CCA, and AFC active since August 2009
- TRC (Trout Creek) array has been active since September 2007; WRA (Wind River RKM 30) has been active since October 2012. Starting in run year 13/14, there are 474 wild fish
# Fish state is a vector of every state each fish was in
# Example for probability of overshooting McNary Dam
for (i in 1:length(fish_state)){
logit(o_mcn[i]) <- b0 + bOrigin[natal_origin[i]] + # origin (categorical)
bYear[run_year[i]] + # run year (categorical)
bTemp * temp[i] + # temperature (continuous)
bFlow * flow[i] + # flow (continuous)
bSpill * spill[i] # spill (continuous)
}
### 2: BON to MCN # l_bon_mcn <- 1 - (o_mcn + s_bon_mcn + h_bon_mcn + f_bon) a2 ~ dnorm(0, 0.01) b2 ~ dnorm(0, 0.01) c2 ~ dnorm(0, 0.01) d2 ~ dnorm(0, 0.01) o_mcn <- exp(a2)/(1 + exp(a2) + exp(b2) + exp(c2) + exp(d2)) s_bon_mcn <- exp(b2)/(1 + exp(a2) + exp(b2) + exp(c2) + exp(d2)) h_bon_mcn <- exp(c2)/(1 + exp(a2) + exp(b2) + exp(c2) + exp(d2)) f_bon <- exp(d2)/(1 + exp(a2) + exp(b2) + exp(c2) + exp(d2)) l_bon_mcn <- 1/(1 + exp(a2) + exp(b2) + exp(c2) + exp(d2))